The results, presented by Butler, were mixed but thought-provoking. The trial did not meet its primary composite endpoint, with only a 7% nonsignificant relative reduction (p=0.22). Yet vericiguat achieved consistent, statistically significant reductions in multiple mortality endpoints: CV mortality, all-cause mortality, sudden cardiac death, and HF-related death. With over 600 mortality events accrued, the findings were robust, matching the predicted event rates despite the cohort’s stability.
Discussion turned to interpreting this unusual pattern of mortality benefit without a reduction in HF hospitalizations. Butler argued that VICTOR and VICTORIA should not be viewed as contradictory, but rather as capturing different phases of the HF trajectory. In VICTORIA’s higher-risk post-hospital population, reductions in hospitalization predominated. In VICTOR’s stable cohort, early worsening often manifests as outpatient oral diuretic intensification, a marker strongly associated with subsequent mortality. Indeed, over half of the first worsening events in VICTOR were oral intensifications rather than hospitalizations, suggesting vericiguat may exert benefits earlier in the decompensation continuum.
The conversation also addressed the broader implications. Butler emphasized that vericiguat’s effects appear additive to guideline-directed therapy, with no differences in outcomes based on ARNI or device use. Pooled analyses of VICTORIA and VICTOR demonstrate consistent benefit across the spectrum of HFrEF, particularly in patients with NT-proBNP <6000 pg/mL, where relative risk reductions for mortality approach 15–17%. The group noted that while VICTOR was technically neutral, its mortality signal challenges conventional thinking. While many therapies reduce HF hospitalizations without a robust mortality benefit, vericiguat may represent the reverse. This raises the possibility that its mechanism, through the stimulation of soluble guanylate cyclase and nitric oxide signaling, exerts systemic benefits beyond traditional congestion pathways.
The episode closed with a reflection on the clinical and guideline implications. Although VICTOR did not meet its composite primary endpoint, the magnitude and consistency of mortality reduction may argue for serious consideration of vericiguat as a mortality-reducing therapy in HFrEF, potentially forming part of an emerging “quintuple therapy” standard. As Butler concluded, mortality remains the “true north” in heart failure management, and these results underscore the persistent residual risk even in optimally treated patients and the potential for novel therapies like vericiguat to address it.
References
European Society of Cardiology. Vericiguat did not meet its primary endpoint but lowered the risk of cardiovascular death in patients with heart failure. News Release. August 30, 2025. Accessed August 30, 2025.
Reddy YNV, Butler J, Anstrom KJ, et al. Vericiguat Global Study in Participants with Chronic Heart Failure: Design of the VICTOR trial. Eur J Heart Fail. 2025;27(2):209-218. doi:10.1002/ejhf.3501